Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.849535 2.013484 2.187912 2.387734 2.610849 2.852907 3.136186
2026-02-01 1.569557 1.787276 2.032345 2.330213 2.684579 3.095300 3.611175
2026-02-08 1.394190 1.640015 1.928345 2.294595 2.751861 3.309823 4.051323
2026-02-15 1.273570 1.537407 1.857256 2.278424 2.825731 3.523207 4.496317
2026-02-22 1.206689 1.490403 1.844616 2.326427 2.975910 3.837723 5.096837
2026-03-01 1.126767 1.418169 1.790950 2.312000 3.036562 4.032014 5.546242
2026-03-08 1.051291 1.344838 1.728369 2.277353 3.062041 4.174181 5.929068
2026-03-15 0.971021 1.259063 1.642096 2.201481 3.019969 4.211503 6.152729
2026-03-22 0.929606 1.222685 1.619765 2.212227 3.101261 4.433794 6.682647
2026-03-29 0.901275 1.202055 1.617109 2.249652 3.223035 4.725571 7.354459
2026-04-05 0.872513 1.178703 1.608429 2.276378 3.328837 4.999444 8.025579
2026-04-12 0.843684 1.153319 1.594748 2.293636 3.419629 5.255057 8.692741
2026-04-19 0.811536 1.122050 1.571471 2.295841 3.488586 5.484511 9.349935
2026-04-26 0.768193 1.072083 1.517427 2.245943 3.467537 5.557445 9.721980
2026-05-03 0.732638 1.031886 1.475841 2.212833 3.471281 5.672672 10.188466
2026-05-10 0.704156 1.000908 1.446612 2.197548 3.503658 5.841045 10.781944
2026-05-17 0.691944 0.994063 1.454367 2.243463 3.646085 6.225101 11.877517
2026-05-24 0.667235 0.966612 1.427918 2.229681 3.679773 6.404940 12.556604
2026-05-31 0.640043 0.934049 1.391599 2.196564 3.675103 6.508651 13.078303
2026-06-07 0.606380 0.889900 1.334497 2.124022 3.591608 6.447301 13.208672
2026-06-14 0.591546 0.875172 1.324849 2.134298 3.665332 6.711814 14.152829
2026-06-21 0.582508 0.869327 1.329486 2.170082 3.790532 7.095286 15.452039
2026-06-28 0.571966 0.860529 1.328635 2.195632 3.897249 7.449891 16.739309